CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Air Force
Offensive efficiency (PPA)65th pct.
Offensive success rate78th pct.
Explosiveness2th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)75th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed82th pct.
Havoc rate28th pct.
Nevada
Offensive efficiency (PPA)33th pct.
Offensive success rate37th pct.
Explosiveness54th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)41th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed68th pct.
Havoc rate12th pct.
Air Force · Returning production
Overall (PPA)57.4%
Passing101.7%
Rushing69.7%
Receiving12.7%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 9-13 · O/U 11-11 · avg. margin -5.0
Nevada · Returning production
Overall (PPA)35.5%
Passing-130.0%
Rushing-11.8%
Receiving41.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 11-11-2 · O/U 10-14 · avg. margin -8.2
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026Air Force 36–33 Nevada
2024Air Force 22–19 Nevada
2022Nevada 20–48 Air Force
2021Air Force 41–39 Nevada
2018Nevada 28–25 Air Force
2017Air Force 45–42 Nevada
Venue & conditions
Mackay Stadium · Reno, NV
73°F · 20.5 mph wind · 8% precip. chance