CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Alabama
Offensive efficiency (PPA)94th pct.
Offensive success rate89th pct.
Explosiveness86th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)79th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed80th pct.
Havoc rate84th pct.
Mississippi State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)80th pct.
Offensive success rate80th pct.
Explosiveness71th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)46th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed43th pct.
Havoc rate68th pct.
Alabama · Returning production
Overall (PPA)26.4%
Passing12.3%
Rushing-66.9%
Receiving41.0%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 14-11-2 · O/U 10-17 · avg. margin +10.9
Mississippi State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)33.9%
Passing-0.2%
Rushing87.3%
Receiving27.9%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-10 · O/U 13-10 · avg. margin -6.5
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026Alabama 56–23 Mississippi State
2023Alabama 40–17 Mississippi State
2022Mississippi State 6–30 Alabama
2021Alabama 49–9 Mississippi State
2020Mississippi State 0–41 Alabama
2019Alabama 38–7 Mississippi State
Venue & conditions
Davis Wade Stadium · Starkville, MS
90°F · 8.5 mph wind · 15% precip. chance
Player props
Members99 DraftKings player prop lines for this game, e.g. Cederian Morgan — Over 0.5.