CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Boise State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)91th pct.
Offensive success rate82th pct.
Explosiveness46th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)52th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed74th pct.
Havoc rate76th pct.
Fresno State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)46th pct.
Offensive success rate26th pct.
Explosiveness82th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)68th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed42th pct.
Havoc rate32th pct.
Boise State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)66.3%
Passing94.3%
Rushing100.4%
Receiving39.6%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 14-11-2 · O/U 12-15 · avg. margin +9.3
Fresno State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)38.3%
Passing7.3%
Rushing16.6%
Receiving69.5%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 12-11-1 · O/U 8-16 · avg. margin +3.4
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026Boise State 38–31 Fresno State
2025Fresno State 30–7 Boise State
2023Boise State 30–37 Fresno State
2022Fresno State 28–16 Boise State
2022Fresno State 20–40 Boise State
2021Boise State 40–14 Fresno State
Venue & conditions
Valley Children's Stadium · Fresno, CA
71°F · 18.1 mph wind · 5% precip. chance