CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Buffalo
Offensive efficiency (PPA)17th pct.
Offensive success rate4th pct.
Explosiveness34th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)40th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed72th pct.
Havoc rate41th pct.
Penn State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)56th pct.
Offensive success rate29th pct.
Explosiveness68th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)43th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed54th pct.
Havoc rate65th pct.
Buffalo · Returning production
Overall (PPA)-0.8%
Passing9.4%
Rushing9.0%
Receiving-7.1%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 10-12-1 · O/U 13-9-1 · avg. margin -0.8
Penn State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)7.6%
Passing3.3%
Rushing-1.6%
Receiving14.5%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-15 · O/U 15-13 · avg. margin +13.1
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings2026Buffalo 13–55 Penn State
2019Buffalo 13–45 Penn State
Venue & conditions
Beaver Stadium · University Park, PA
71°F · 4.6 mph wind · 15% precip. chance