CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Florida State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)78th pct.
Offensive success rate61th pct.
Explosiveness92th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)8th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed23th pct.
Havoc rate50th pct.
Alabama
Offensive efficiency (PPA)94th pct.
Offensive success rate89th pct.
Explosiveness86th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)79th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed80th pct.
Havoc rate84th pct.
Florida State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)40.1%
Passing12.5%
Rushing28.2%
Receiving65.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 8-15 · O/U 7-16 · avg. margin -4.0
Alabama · Returning production
Overall (PPA)26.4%
Passing12.3%
Rushing-66.9%
Receiving41.0%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 14-11-2 · O/U 10-17 · avg. margin +10.9
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings2026Florida State 36–50 Alabama
2025Alabama 17–31 Florida State
2017Florida State 7–24 Alabama
Venue & conditions
Bryant-Denny Stadium · Tuscaloosa, AL
99°F · 6 mph wind · 18% precip. chance