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Bobby's Sports Analytics publishes sports statistics and analysis for informational purposes only. Nothing here is a prediction of results or a recommendation to wager. Must be 21+ (18+ where permitted by law). Please play responsibly.

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TodayStatsFantasyModelsMarkets
CFB
Fresno State
4-2
@Sat, Oct 17 · 10:30 PM ET
San Diego State
2-4

More on this game

Full matchup preview →Today's picks →
SDSU +7.5·O/U 45.5

Where they rank

Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.

Fresno State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)46th pct.
Offensive success rate26th pct.
Explosiveness82th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)68th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed42th pct.
Havoc rate32th pct.
San Diego State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)4th pct.
Offensive success rate1th pct.
Explosiveness61th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)25th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed8th pct.
Havoc rate7th pct.
Fresno State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)38.3%
Passing7.3%
Rushing16.6%
Receiving69.5%

Against the spread, last 3 seasons

ATS 12-11-1 · O/U 8-16 · avg. margin +3.4

San Diego State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)98.7%
Passing100.0%
Rushing100.0%
Receiving97.3%

Against the spread, last 3 seasons

ATS 14-8 · O/U 9-13 · avg. margin -0.3

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings
2025San Diego State 23–0 Fresno State
2023Fresno State 18–33 San Diego State
2022San Diego State 28–32 Fresno State
2021Fresno State 30–20 San Diego State
2019Fresno State 7–17 San Diego State

Venue & conditions

Snapdragon Stadium · San Diego, CA

86°F · 11.8 mph wind · 0% precip. chance

Player props

Members
24 DraftKings player prop lines for this game, e.g. Bryson Donelson — Over 0.5.
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