CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Louisville
Offensive efficiency (PPA)93th pct.
Offensive success rate86th pct.
Explosiveness94th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)28th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed41th pct.
Havoc rate25th pct.
NC State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)64th pct.
Offensive success rate57th pct.
Explosiveness62th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)16th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed24th pct.
Havoc rate51th pct.
Louisville · Returning production
Overall (PPA)34.8%
Passing0.0%
Rushing84.6%
Receiving18.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 10-13 · O/U 13-10 · avg. margin +7.2
NC State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)59.9%
Passing93.1%
Rushing101.5%
Receiving26.0%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 10-13-1 · O/U 13-11 · avg. margin -0.1
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026Louisville 28–31 NC State
2023Louisville 13–10 NC State
2022NC State 10–25 Louisville
2021Louisville 13–28 NC State
2019Louisville 34–20 NC State
2018NC State 52–10 Louisville
Venue & conditions
Carter-Finley Stadium · Raleigh, NC
84°F · 12.8 mph wind · 46% precip. chance