CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Mississippi State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)80th pct.
Offensive success rate80th pct.
Explosiveness71th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)46th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed43th pct.
Havoc rate68th pct.
Ole Miss
Offensive efficiency (PPA)87th pct.
Offensive success rate95th pct.
Explosiveness22th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)17th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed9th pct.
Havoc rate51th pct.
Mississippi State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)33.9%
Passing-0.2%
Rushing87.3%
Receiving27.9%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-10 · O/U 13-10 · avg. margin -6.5
Ole Miss · Returning production
Overall (PPA)50.3%
Passing79.1%
Rushing83.8%
Receiving19.4%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 16-10 · O/U 9-17 · avg. margin +18.1
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings2025Ole Miss 38–19 Mississippi State
2024Mississippi State 14–26 Ole Miss
2023Ole Miss 17–7 Mississippi State
2022Mississippi State 24–22 Ole Miss
2021Ole Miss 31–21 Mississippi State