CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
North Carolina
Offensive efficiency (PPA)35th pct.
Offensive success rate60th pct.
Explosiveness12th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)73th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed30th pct.
Havoc rate12th pct.
TCU
Offensive efficiency (PPA)37th pct.
Offensive success rate40th pct.
Explosiveness63th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)91th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed73th pct.
Havoc rate70th pct.
North Carolina · Returning production
Overall (PPA)27.8%
Passing9.5%
Rushing53.6%
Receiving32.8%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 7-15-1 · O/U 10-13 · avg. margin -3.4
TCU · Returning production
Overall (PPA)22.4%
Passing11.0%
Rushing31.3%
Receiving29.1%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-11-1 · O/U 13-11-1 · avg. margin +5.6
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings2026North Carolina 15–10 TCU
2025TCU 48–14 North Carolina
Venue & conditions
Aviva Stadium · Dublin · Neutral site
65°F · 8.9 mph wind · 100% precip. chance
Player props
Members100 DraftKings player prop lines for this game, e.g. Benjamin Hall — Over 0.5.