CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
South Alabama
Offensive efficiency (PPA)76th pct.
Offensive success rate51th pct.
Explosiveness85th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)7th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed1th pct.
Havoc rate60th pct.
Arkansas State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)49th pct.
Offensive success rate84th pct.
Explosiveness24th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)14th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed9th pct.
Havoc rate4th pct.
South Alabama · Returning production
Overall (PPA)78.6%
Passing95.1%
Rushing61.7%
Receiving80.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 9-13 · O/U 10-12 · avg. margin -0.9
Arkansas State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)30.0%
Passing7.2%
Rushing-246.3%
Receiving54.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-10 · O/U 10-13 · avg. margin -3.9
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026South Alabama 56–49 Arkansas State
2025Arkansas State 15–14 South Alabama
2024South Alabama 16–18 Arkansas State
2023Arkansas State 14–21 South Alabama
2022South Alabama 31–3 Arkansas State
2021Arkansas State 13–31 South Alabama
Venue & conditions
Centennial Bank Stadium · Jonesboro, AR
89°F · 7.1 mph wind · 1% precip. chance