CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Toledo
Offensive efficiency (PPA)75th pct.
Offensive success rate46th pct.
Explosiveness93th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)70th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed86th pct.
Havoc rate28th pct.
Michigan State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)14th pct.
Offensive success rate51th pct.
Explosiveness4th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)20th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed32th pct.
Havoc rate12th pct.
Toledo · Returning production
Overall (PPA)66.3%
Passing98.5%
Rushing26.3%
Receiving58.4%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-11 · O/U 12-12 · avg. margin +9.6
Michigan State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)20.9%
Passing16.2%
Rushing18.5%
Receiving24.4%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 11-10 · O/U 11-10 · avg. margin -7.6
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings2026Toledo 20–30 Michigan State
Venue & conditions
Spartan Stadium · East Lansing, MI
76°F · 8.8 mph wind · 20% precip. chance
Player props
Members100 DraftKings player prop lines for this game, e.g. Adjatay Dabbs — Over 0.5.