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Sat, Sep 12 ยท 1:00 PM ET

Holy Cross at Miami OH

Miami OH favored by 30.5 ยท total 47.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

Holy CrossCrusaders

Away ยท Patriot

+30.5

+2000

ML

Miami OHRedHawks

Home ยท Mid-American

-30.5

-6500

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadHoly Cross +30.5โ€”
SpreadMiami OH -30.5โ€”
TotalOver 47.5โ€”
TotalUnder 47.5โ€”
MoneylineHoly Cross to win+2000
MoneylineMiami OH to win-6500

Returning production

Holy CrossMiami (OH)
Overallโ€”14%
Passingโ€”-2%*
Rushingโ€”33%
Receivingโ€”13%

* Outside 0โ€“100% on purpose โ€” production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.

The read

  • A total of 47.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

Holy CrosspercentileMiami (OH)

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)59
โ€”Success rate32
โ€”Explosiveness96
โ€”Points per trip38

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed30
โ€”Success rate allowed33
โ€”Havoc11
โ€”Stuff rate74

Last three seasons

Holy Cross

1-0 ATS ยท 0-1 SU

0-1 O/U ยท 1-0 away

Miami (OH)

15-12 ATS ยท 16-11 SU

12-14-1 O/U ยท 7-5 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 30.5 โ€” the 28-35 point band. In 425 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 46.6% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (41.9โ€“51.3%) is taken into account.
  • Total 47.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total47.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-30.5 โ†’ -30.5unmoved

Total

49.5 โ†’ 47.5-2.0

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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