Bobby'sSports Analytics
All NFL previews

NFL · Week 6

Sun, Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET

CHICHIChicago Bears3-2 · Regular season
@
ATLATLAtlanta Falcons2-3 · Regular season

Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons preview

Model win prob.CHI 54%

Model: our NFL team ratings (the playoff-picture engine), home edge included. Not betting odds.

Numbers to know

  • 1CHI has held opponents to 17 or fewer points in 3 of its last 5 games.
  • 2The last 4 meetings are split 2–2 (regular season + playoffs since 2015).
  • 3Last meeting: CHI beat ATL 37–17 — Dec 31, 2023.
CHI

CHI recent form

Last 5 games (this season)

  • L10/11@ GB7–31
  • W10/4vs NYJ23–12
  • W9/28vs PHI27–7
  • L9/20vs MIN3–9
  • W9/13@ CAR59–37
ATL

ATL recent form

Last 5 games (this season)

  • L10/11vs BAL23–30
  • W10/5@ NO45–24
  • W9/24@ GB35–14
  • L9/20vs CAR3–34
  • L9/13@ PIT13–20

Key players

Case Keenum

CHI

Case Keenum

177.5 pass yds/g · 2 pass TD

2 games · weeks 2–5, 2026 · 12.6 PPR pts/g

Bijan Robinson

ATL

Bijan Robinson

139.8 scrimmage yds/g · 4 TD

4 games · weeks 2–5, 2026 · 22.5 PPR pts/g

NFL: the team's top skill player by PPR fantasy points per game over its last 4 games (must have played the latest one).

Head to head

CHI 2 – 2 ATL · last 4

Meetings regular season + playoffs since 2015.

  • 12/31/23ATL 17 @ CHI 37
  • 11/20/22CHI 24 @ ATL 27
  • 9/27/20CHI 30 @ ATL 26
  • 9/10/17ATL 23 @ CHI 17

All numbers come from our own schedule and game-log tables; each section states its window. Results our logs can't settle reliably (e.g. a tied run or goal sum) show as “–” and are left out of streaks. Not betting advice.