Bobby'sSports Analytics
All NFL previews

NFL · Week 6

Sun, Oct 18 · 9:30 AM ET

HOUHOUHouston Texans1-4 · Regular season
@
JAXJAXJacksonville Jaguars4-1 · Regular season

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars preview

Model win prob.JAX 55%

Model: our NFL team ratings (the playoff-picture engine), home edge included. Not betting odds.

Numbers to know

  • 1JAX has held opponents to 17 or fewer points in 4 of its last 5 games.
  • 2JAX has won its last 3 games (this season).
  • 3JAX has outscored opponents by 10.6 points per game over its last 5 (24.6–14.0).
HOU

HOU recent form

Last 5 games (this season)

  • W10/11@ TEN26–3
  • L10/4vs DAL30–34
  • L9/27@ IND17–19
  • L9/20vs CIN6–20
  • L9/13vs BUF31–36
JAX

JAX recent form

Last 5 games (this season)

  • W10/11vs PHI19–17
  • W10/4@ CIN22–17
  • W9/27vs NE35–6
  • L9/20@ DEN13–20
  • W9/13vs CLE34–10

Key players

Nico Collins

HOU

Nico Collins

12 rec · 87 rec yds/g · 2 TD

2 games · weeks 2–5, 2026 · 20.7 PPR pts/g

Parker Washington

JAX

Parker Washington

17 rec · 67.3 rec yds/g · 3 TD

4 games · weeks 2–5, 2026 · 15.5 PPR pts/g

NFL: the team's top skill player by PPR fantasy points per game over its last 4 games (must have played the latest one).

Head to head

HOU 3 – 2 JAX · last 5

Meetings regular season + playoffs since 2015.

  • 11/9/25JAX 29 @ HOU 36
  • 9/21/25HOU 10 @ JAX 17
  • 12/1/24HOU 23 @ JAX 20
  • 9/29/24JAX 20 @ HOU 24
  • 11/26/23JAX 24 @ HOU 21

All numbers come from our own schedule and game-log tables; each section states its window. Results our logs can't settle reliably (e.g. a tied run or goal sum) show as “–” and are left out of streaks. Not betting advice.