Bobby'sSports Analytics
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NFL · Week 6

Mon, Oct 19 · 8:15 PM ET

WASWASWashington Commanders1-3-1 · Regular season
@
SFSFSan Francisco 49ers5-0 · Regular season

Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers preview

Model win prob.SF 73%

Model: our NFL team ratings (the playoff-picture engine), home edge included. Not betting odds.

Numbers to know

  • 1SF has won its last 5 games (this season).
  • 2SF has scored 30+ points in 3 of its last 5 games.
  • 3SF has outscored opponents by 12.2 points per game over its last 5 (30.8–18.6).
WAS

WAS recent form

Last 5 games (this season)

  • –10/11vs NYG27–27
  • L10/4vs IND13–30
  • W9/27vs SEA33–31
  • L9/20@ DAL20–37
  • L9/13@ PHI22–24
SF

SF recent form

Last 5 games (this season)

  • W10/11@ SEA32–29
  • W10/4vs DEN24–14
  • W9/27vs ARI36–30
  • W9/20vs MIA35–13
  • W9/10@ LA27–7

Key players

Jayden Daniels

WAS

Jayden Daniels

147.5 pass yds/g · 1 pass TD · 172 rush yds

2 games · weeks 2–5, 2026 · 23.5 PPR pts/g

Brock Purdy

SF

Brock Purdy

247.8 pass yds/g · 10 pass TD · 99 rush yds

4 games · weeks 2–5, 2026 · 23.9 PPR pts/g

NFL: the team's top skill player by PPR fantasy points per game over its last 4 games (must have played the latest one).

Head to head

WAS 2 – 3 SF · last 5

Meetings regular season + playoffs since 2015.

  • 12/31/23SF 27 @ WAS 10
  • 12/24/22WAS 20 @ SF 37
  • 12/13/20WAS 23 @ SF 15
  • 10/20/19SF 9 @ WAS 0
  • 10/15/17SF 24 @ WAS 26

All numbers come from our own schedule and game-log tables; each section states its window. Results our logs can't settle reliably (e.g. a tied run or goal sum) show as “–” and are left out of streaks. Not betting advice.