Rays
TB (1-2)
Guardians
CLE (2-1)
Rays
TB (1-2)
SP: Nick Martinez
Progressive Field
Guardians
CLE (2-1)
SP: Shawn Armstrong
51%Moneyline
Bet on DraftKings
Run Line
-1.5
Bet on DraftKings
Total
O/U 6.5
Bet on DraftKings
The Read
The market prices this close to a coin flip (Rays 51%) — a game to attack through props and the total, not the side.
Run total sits at 6.5, a low-scoring script.
The Rays carry the pitching edge — 3.10 ERA / 1.09 WHIP versus 4.58 the other way.
Both lineups run close in output — 4.5 runs/game (TB) and 4.2 (CLE).
Conditions favor the arms — Progressive Field (PF 0.98), which caps the overs.
Composed from the market line and 2026 team & probable-pitcher stats — no projections.
Starting Pitcher Matchup
Nick Martinez
ERA
3.10
WHIP
1.09
K/9
5.5
BB/9
1.3
HR/9
1.1
IP
180.0
Shawn Armstrong
ERA
4.58
WHIP
1.39
K/9
8.7
BB/9
4.8
HR/9
1.0
IP
35.1
ERA
WHIP
K/9
BB/9
HR/9
IP
Stadium & Conditions
LF
325'
CF
405'
RF
325'
56°F
8 mph
NW
Rain
Humidity
87%
Pitcher-Favorable Conditions
- Cool (56°F) — slightly suppressed offense
- High humidity (87%) — heavier air, slightly less carry
- Precipitation (Rain) — wet ball, reduced grip for pitchers
Slightly pitcher-friendly; cold early/late-season weather suppresses offense.
Team Comparison
TB