NRFI Picks — Friday, September 11, 2026

15 games scored before first pitch. 13 graded · leans went 6-4

GamePitchersScoreCall1st inningResult
HOU @ TBMiguel Ullola vs Drew Rasmussen96Strong NRFI0 runs✓ hit
SD @ SFRobbie Ray vs Anthony Molina79Strong NRFI1 run✗ miss
NYM @ NYYNolan McLean vs Carlos Rodón70Lean NRFI1 run✗ miss
CLE @ MINParker Messick vs Taj Bradley68Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
PHI @ ATLAaron Nola vs Chris Sale67Lean NRFI1 run✗ miss
LAA @ WSHYusei Kikuchi vs Cade Cavalli62Lean NRFI1 run✗ miss
LAD @ MIATBD vs Ryan Gusto62Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
TEX @ ARITBD vs TBD55Toss-up0 runspush
COL @ DETMason Adams vs Framber Valdez47Toss-up0 runspush
PIT @ CHCWilber Dotel vs Shota Imanaga47Toss-up1 runpush
CHW @ STLAnthony Kay vs Matthew Liberatore45Toss-up—pending
SEA @ OAKGeorge Kirby vs Jeffrey Springs44Toss-up—pending
CIN @ MILAndrew Abbott vs Dustin May39Lean YRFI2 runs✓ hit
KC @ BOSSeth Lugo vs Sonny Gray33Lean YRFI1 run✓ hit
BAL @ TORChris Bassitt vs Max Scherzer32Lean YRFI1 run✓ hit

Score is the model’s NRFI confidence 0–100 at first snapshot; it is not edited after the game. “Hit” means the lean (NRFI at 60+, YRFI under 40) matched the box score. Toss-ups carry no lean.