NRFI Picks — Thursday, September 17, 2026

9 games scored before first pitch. 7 graded · leans went 2-3

GamePitchersScoreCall1st inningResult
MIN @ LAATaj Bradley vs Walbert Ureña70Lean NRFI3 runs✗ miss
OAK @ TBJeffrey Springs vs Drew Rasmussen66Lean NRFI—pending
BOS @ TEXSonny Gray vs TBD64Lean NRFI1 run✗ miss
PHI @ NYMAaron Nola vs Nolan McLean53Toss-up0 runspush
DET @ CHWFramber Valdez vs Erick Fedde47Toss-up—pending
KC @ HOUSeth Lugo vs TBD40Toss-up2 runspush
MIL @ PITKyle Harrison vs Wilber Dotel39Lean YRFI0 runs✗ miss
LAD @ CINJustin Wrobleski vs Brady Singer30Lean YRFI2 runs✓ hit
SD @ COLMichael King vs Tanner Gordon23Strong YRFI1 run✓ hit

Score is the model’s NRFI confidence 0–100 at first snapshot; it is not edited after the game. “Hit” means the lean (NRFI at 60+, YRFI under 40) matched the box score. Toss-ups carry no lean.