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Patrick Mahomes

QB · Kansas City Chiefs · bye 5

The market drafts Patrick Mahomes at 9.08, but 2025 production ranks him QB5 — about 9 spots of value.

9.08

2026 ADP

QB5

2025 production rank

20.4

2025 PPR/game

14

2025 games

2026 Outlook

18.8PPR/g12.1–25.5 range

14 games in 2025 at 20.4 PPR/g, regressed 26% toward the QB average of 14.4. This is last season's evidence weighted by sample size — not a forecast.

Usage and schedule

  • 0.1 targets per game in 2025
  • 4.6 carries per game in 2025
  • 57% of his games cleared 20+ PPR; 7% landed under 8
  • Fantasy playoff matchups (weeks 15–17): vs NE, vs SF, @LAC — softness 36/100

Latest on Patrick Mahomes

ADP from real 12-team drafts (4,588 tracked), refreshed daily. Production from 2025 regular-season game logs.

Runs on the same data