CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Florida State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)78th pct.
Offensive success rate61th pct.
Explosiveness92th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)8th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed23th pct.
Havoc rate50th pct.
Miami
Offensive efficiency (PPA)99th pct.
Offensive success rate99th pct.
Explosiveness45th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)85th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed77th pct.
Havoc rate49th pct.
Florida State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)40.1%
Passing12.5%
Rushing28.2%
Receiving65.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 8-15 · O/U 7-16 · avg. margin -4.0
Miami · Returning production
Overall (PPA)36.9%
Passing5.5%
Rushing91.4%
Receiving44.9%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 17-10 · O/U 15-12 · avg. margin +15.2
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings2025Miami 28–22 Florida State
2024Florida State 14–36 Miami
2023Miami 20–27 Florida State
2022Florida State 45–3 Miami
2021Miami 28–31 Florida State
Venue & conditions
Hard Rock Stadium · Miami Gardens, FL
86°F · 7.9 mph wind · 79% precip. chance
Player props
Members100 DraftKings player prop lines for this game, e.g. Ashton Daniels — Over 0.5.