Sat, Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ET
Florida State at Miami FL
Miami FL favored by 20.5 · total 56.5
Florida StateSeminoles
Away · ACC
+20.5
-108
+950
ML
Miami FLHurricanes
Home · ACC
-20.5
-112
-1650
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Florida State | Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 40% | 37% |
| Passing | 13% | 6% |
| Rushing | 28% | 91% |
| Receiving | 65% | 45% |
Player props · 22 players
Passing yards
Receiving yards
+2 more receiving yards ladders
Rushing yards
Anytime TD
+16 more anytime td ladders
Every rung and price on the full prop board. We publish no model on college props — these are the market's numbers.
The read
- 79% chance of rain at kickoff.
- At 20.5 the line sits just short of 21, so the games decided by exactly 21 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
- The spread has moved from -21 to -20.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
- A total of 56.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 9.1 points — the market rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Florida State
8-15 ATS · 6-17 SU
7-16 O/U · 1-8 away
Miami
17-10 ATS · 21-6 SU
15-12 O/U · 8-4 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 20.5 — the 17-21 point band. In 639 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 51.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.1–54.9%) is taken into account.
- Total 56.5 — this game's spread sits in the 14-21 point band. In 1,186 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 47.0% of the time, so the other side has been the more frequent of the two — though still short of the 52.38% break-even rate at −110.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Miami FL -11.4 versus the market's -20.5 — a 9.1-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-21 → -20.5+0.5
Total
56.5 → 56.5unmoved
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.