CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Missouri State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)27th pct.
Offensive success rate25th pct.
Explosiveness30th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)9th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed4th pct.
Havoc rate31th pct.
Western Kentucky
Offensive efficiency (PPA)14th pct.
Offensive success rate12th pct.
Explosiveness51th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)19th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed35th pct.
Havoc rate23th pct.
Missouri State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)31.3%
Passing5.3%
Rushing-3.2%
Receiving47.4%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 6-6 · O/U 5-7 · avg. margin -3.5
Western Kentucky · Returning production
Overall (PPA)83.7%
Passing95.1%
Rushing54.7%
Receiving84.8%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 15-9 · O/U 10-14 · avg. margin +1.5
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings2026Missouri State 13–34 Western Kentucky
2025Western Kentucky 27–22 Missouri State
Venue & conditions
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium · Bowling Green, KY
85°F · 8.1 mph wind · 1% precip. chance