CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
NC State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)64th pct.
Offensive success rate57th pct.
Explosiveness62th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)16th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed24th pct.
Havoc rate51th pct.
Virginia
Offensive efficiency (PPA)78th pct.
Offensive success rate74th pct.
Explosiveness12th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)50th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed62th pct.
Havoc rate70th pct.
NC State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)59.9%
Passing93.1%
Rushing101.5%
Receiving26.0%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 10-13-1 · O/U 13-11 · avg. margin -0.1
Virginia · Returning production
Overall (PPA)9.5%
Passing1.1%
Rushing21.0%
Receiving8.7%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 15-9 · O/U 7-17 · avg. margin +2.8
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings2026NC State 8–34 Virginia
2025Virginia 31–35 NC State
2023NC State 24–21 Virginia
2020NC State 38–21 Virginia
2018Virginia 21–35 NC State
Venue & conditions
Scott Stadium · Charlottesville, VA
83°F · 8.6 mph wind · 3% precip. chance