CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Nevada
Offensive efficiency (PPA)33th pct.
Offensive success rate37th pct.
Explosiveness54th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)41th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed68th pct.
Havoc rate12th pct.
Middle Tennessee
Offensive efficiency (PPA)41th pct.
Offensive success rate22th pct.
Explosiveness28th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)24th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed7th pct.
Havoc rate0th pct.
Nevada · Returning production
Overall (PPA)35.5%
Passing-130.0%
Rushing-11.8%
Receiving41.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 11-11-2 · O/U 10-14 · avg. margin -8.2
Middle Tennessee · Returning production
Overall (PPA)32.5%
Passing39.2%
Rushing60.1%
Receiving26.2%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 9-12 · O/U 10-11 · avg. margin -11.9
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings2026Nevada 20–27 Middle Tennessee
2025Middle Tennessee 14–13 Nevada
Venue & conditions
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium · Murfreesboro, TN
97°F · 14.2 mph wind · 16% precip. chance
Player props
Members22 DraftKings player prop lines for this game, e.g. Carter Jones — Over 0.5.