CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
Toledo
Offensive efficiency (PPA)75th pct.
Offensive success rate46th pct.
Explosiveness93th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)70th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed86th pct.
Havoc rate28th pct.
Ball State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)24th pct.
Offensive success rate6th pct.
Explosiveness96th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)1th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed22th pct.
Havoc rate17th pct.
Toledo · Returning production
Overall (PPA)66.3%
Passing98.5%
Rushing26.3%
Receiving58.4%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 13-11 · O/U 12-12 · avg. margin +9.6
Ball State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)5.7%
Passing0.0%
Rushing-103.6%
Receiving31.9%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 12-10 · O/U 13-8-1 · avg. margin -14.3
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026Toledo 39–24 Ball State
2025Ball State 9–38 Toledo
2023Toledo 13–6 Ball State
2022Ball State 21–28 Toledo
2021Toledo 22–12 Ball State
2020Ball State 27–24 Toledo
Venue & conditions
Scheumann Stadium · Muncie, IN
64°F · 10.5 mph wind · 0% precip. chance