CFB
Where they rank
Team-advanced percentile vs. the FBS field · descriptive only, not a prediction of Saturday.
UTSA
Offensive efficiency (PPA)69th pct.
Offensive success rate70th pct.
Explosiveness11th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)62th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed49th pct.
Havoc rate12th pct.
Texas State
Offensive efficiency (PPA)82th pct.
Offensive success rate88th pct.
Explosiveness67th pct.
Defensive efficiency (PPA)25th pct.
Defensive success rate allowed17th pct.
Havoc rate33th pct.
UTSA · Returning production
Overall (PPA)66.9%
Passing92.7%
Rushing35.8%
Receiving60.6%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 14-11 · O/U 17-7-1 · avg. margin +5.4
Texas State · Returning production
Overall (PPA)76.0%
Passing99.8%
Rushing48.0%
Receiving79.1%
Against the spread, last 3 seasons
ATS 10-14 · O/U 12-12 · avg. margin +10.0
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings2026UTSA 31–26 Texas State
2025Texas State 43–36 UTSA
2024UTSA 10–49 Texas State
2023Texas State 13–20 UTSA
2020UTSA 51–48 Texas State
2018Texas State 21–25 UTSA
Venue & conditions
Bobcat Stadium (TX) · San Marcos, TX
100°F · 13.1 mph wind · 3% precip. chance