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Sat, Sep 12 ยท 3:30 PM ET

UTSA at Texas State

Texas State favored by 1.5 ยท total 65.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

UTSARoadrunners

Away ยท American Athletic

+1.5

+102

ML

Texas StateBobcats

Home ยท Pac-12

-1.5

-122

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadUTSA +1.5โ€”
SpreadTexas State -1.5โ€”
TotalOver 65.5โ€”
TotalUnder 65.5โ€”
MoneylineUTSA to win+102
MoneylineTexas State to win-122

Returning production

UTSATexas State
Overall67%76%
Passing93%100%
Rushing36%48%
Receiving61%79%

The read

  • A total of 65.5 sits among the highest quarter of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

UTSApercentileTexas State

With the ball

69Efficiency (PPA)82
70Success rate88
11Explosiveness67
26Points per trip20

Without it

62Efficiency allowed25
49Success rate allowed17
12Havoc33
39Stuff rate92

Last three seasons

UTSA

14-11 ATS ยท 14-11 SU

17-7-1 O/U ยท 3-9 away

Texas State

10-14 ATS ยท 13-11 SU

12-12 O/U ยท 5-7 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 1.5 โ€” the 0-3 point band. In 982 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.7% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (45.6โ€“51.8%) is taken into account.
  • Total 65.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2โ€“50.9%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayUTSA#71 (-1.1)scores 29.9 ยท allows 31.1
HomeTexas State#77 (-2.1)scores 33.2 ยท allows 35.4

SP+ implies Texas State -1.9 versus the market's -1.5

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total65.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-1.5 โ†’ -1.5unmoved

Total

64.5 โ†’ 65.5+1.0

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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