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NCAA Championship Futures

Championship winner and Final Four odds with AI analysis

92Teams Listed
55%Market Vig
Odds via FanDuel

Championship Winner Odds(92 teams)

#1CONTENDER
Overpriced
Florida

Florida

sec
Odds+550
Implied15.4%
$100 Pays$550

Extreme longshot. Florida at 0.4% implied is a dart throw โ€” only for fun money.

Click for deep analysis
#2CONTENDER
Fair Price
Duke

Duke

acc
Odds+600
Implied14.3%
$100 Pays$600

Fair price. Duke at +600 is reasonably valued โ€” not a standout edge but not a bad bet either.

Click for deep analysis
#3VALUE
Fair Price
UConn

UConn

big-east
Odds+1200
Implied7.7%
$100 Pays$1200

Fair price. UConn at +1200 is reasonably valued โ€” not a standout edge but not a bad bet either.

Click for deep analysis
#4VALUE
Good Value
Illinois

Illinois

big-ten
Odds+1300
Implied7.1%
$100 Pays$1300

Strong value play. Illinois offers an attractive risk/reward profile at +1300.

Click for deep analysis
#5LONGSHOT
Fair Price
Michigan State

Michigan State

big-ten
Odds+2000
Implied4.8%
$100 Pays$2000

Fair price. Michigan State at +2000 is reasonably valued โ€” not a standout edge but not a bad bet either.

Click for deep analysis

Full Championship Odds Board

#TeamOddsImplied %$100 PaysAI VerdictTier
1
FloridaFloridasec
+55015.4%$550OverpricedCONTENDER
2
DukeDukeacc
+60014.3%$600Fair PriceCONTENDER
3
UConnUConnbig-east
+12007.7%$1200Fair PriceVALUE
4
IllinoisIllinoisbig-ten
+13007.1%$1300Good ValueVALUE
5
Michigan StateMichigan Statebig-ten
+20004.8%$2000Fair PriceLONGSHOT
6
ArizonaArizonabig-12
+20004.8%$2000Fair PriceLONGSHOT
7
LouisvilleLouisvilleacc
+22004.3%$2200Fair PriceLONGSHOT
8
TexasTexassec
+22004.3%$2200Fair PriceLONGSHOT
9
Texas TechTexas Techbig-12
+22004.3%$2200Good ValueLONGSHOT
10
VirginiaVirginiaacc
+25003.8%$2500Good ValueLONGSHOT
11
HoustonHoustonbig-12
+30003.2%$3000Fair PriceLONGSHOT
12
GonzagaGonzagawcc
+30003.2%$3000Fair PriceLONGSHOT
13
TennesseeTennesseesec
+30003.2%$3000Fair PriceLONGSHOT
14
St. John'sSt. John'sbig-east
+33002.9%$3300Fair PriceLONGSHOT
15
ArkansasArkansassec
+33002.9%$3300Fair PriceLONGSHOT
16
KentuckyKentuckysec
+35002.8%$3500Fair PriceLONGSHOT
17
KansasKansasbig-12
+35002.8%$3500Fair PriceLONGSHOT
18
LSULSUsec
+40002.4%$4000Fair PriceLONGSHOT
19
MichiganMichiganbig-ten
+40002.4%$4000Fair PriceLONGSHOT
20
MiamiMiamiacc
+40002.4%$4000OverpricedLONGSHOT
21
UCLAUCLAbig-ten
+45002.2%$4500Fair PriceLONGSHOT
22
VanderbiltVanderbiltsec
+45002.2%$4500Fair PriceLONGSHOT
23
Iowa StateIowa Statebig-12
+45002.2%$4500Fair PriceLONGSHOT
24
MissouriMissourisec
+45002.2%$4500Fair PriceLONGSHOT
25
AlabamaAlabamasec
+45002.2%$4500Fair PriceLONGSHOT
26
USCUSCbig-ten
+55001.8%$5500OverpricedLONGSHOT
27
NebraskaNebraskabig-ten
+65001.5%$6500OverpricedLONGSHOT
28
IndianaIndianabig-ten
+65001.5%$6500OverpricedLONGSHOT
29
PurduePurduebig-ten
+65001.5%$6500OverpricedLONGSHOT
30
BYUBYUbig-12
+65001.5%$6500OverpricedLONGSHOT
31
Texas A&MTexas A&Msec
+65001.5%$6500OverpricedLONGSHOT
32
North CarolinaNorth Carolinaacc
+65001.5%$6500OverpricedLONGSHOT
33
BaylorBaylorbig-12
+100001.0%$10000OverpricedLONGSHOT
34
MarylandMarylandbig-ten
+100001.0%$10000OverpricedLONGSHOT
35
Ohio StateOhio Statebig-ten
+100001.0%$10000OverpricedLONGSHOT
36
ProvidenceProvidencebig-east
+100001.0%$10000OverpricedLONGSHOT
37
AuburnAuburnsec
+100001.0%$10000OverpricedLONGSHOT
38
S
Saint Louis
+100001.0%$10000OverpricedLONGSHOT
39
CincinnatiCincinnatibig-12
+100001.0%$10000OverpricedLONGSHOT
40
IowaIowabig-ten
+100001.0%$10000OverpricedLONGSHOT
41
VillanovaVillanovabig-east
+100001.0%$10000OverpricedLONGSHOT
42
OklahomaOklahomasec
+100001.0%$10000OverpricedLONGSHOT
43
TCUTCUbig-12
+150000.7%$15000OverpricedLONGSHOT
44
WisconsinWisconsinbig-ten
+150000.7%$15000OverpricedLONGSHOT
45
CreightonCreightonbig-east
+150000.7%$15000OverpricedLONGSHOT
46
MarquetteMarquettebig-east
+150000.7%$15000OverpricedLONGSHOT
47
Arizona StateArizona Statebig-12
+150000.7%$15000OverpricedLONGSHOT
48
GeorgiaGeorgiasec
+150000.7%$15000OverpricedLONGSHOT
49
SMUSMUacc
+150000.7%$15000OverpricedLONGSHOT
50
ClemsonClemsonacc
+150000.7%$15000OverpricedLONGSHOT
51
NC StateNC Stateacc
+150000.7%$15000OverpricedLONGSHOT
52
XavierXavierbig-east
+150000.7%$15000OverpricedLONGSHOT
53
VCUVCUa-10
+150000.7%$15000OverpricedLONGSHOT
54
West VirginiaWest Virginiabig-12
+150000.7%$15000OverpricedLONGSHOT
55
San Diego StateSan Diego Statemountain-west
+200000.5%$20000OverpricedLONGSHOT
56
Oklahoma StateOklahoma Statebig-12
+200000.5%$20000OverpricedLONGSHOT
57
MinnesotaMinnesotabig-ten
+200000.5%$20000OverpricedLONGSHOT
58
WashingtonWashingtonbig-ten
+200000.5%$20000OverpricedLONGSHOT
59
Ole MissOle Misssec
+200000.5%$20000OverpricedLONGSHOT
60
Florida StateFlorida Stateacc
+200000.5%$20000OverpricedLONGSHOT
61
OregonOregonbig-ten
+200000.5%$20000OverpricedLONGSHOT
62
Georgia TechGeorgia Techacc
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
63
CalCalacc
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
64
GeorgetownGeorgetownbig-east
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
65
StanfordStanfordacc
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
66
UNLVUNLVmountain-west
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
67
ColoradoColoradobig-12
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
68
FloridaFloridasec
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
69
SyracuseSyracuseacc
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
70
DaytonDaytona-10
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
71
UtahUtahbig-12
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
72
DePaulDePaulbig-east
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
73
Notre DameNotre Dameacc
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
74
Santa ClaraSanta Clarawcc
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
75
Kansas StateKansas Statebig-12
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
76
N
New Mexico
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
77
Wake ForestWake Forestacc
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
78
UCFUCFbig-12
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
79
Penn StatePenn Statebig-ten
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
80
PittsburghPittsburghacc
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
81
Saint Mary'sSaint Mary'swcc
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
82
U
Utah State
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
83
Mississippi StateMississippi Statesec
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
84
MiamiMiamiacc
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
85
Virginia TechVirginia Techacc
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
86
Boston CollegeBoston Collegeacc
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
87
NevadaNevadamountain-west
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
88
South CarolinaSouth Carolinasec
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
89
ColoradoColoradobig-12
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
90
MemphisMemphisaac
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
91
ButlerButlerbig-east
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT
92
NorthwesternNorthwesternbig-ten
+250000.4%$25000OverpricedLONGSHOT

Market Efficiency: 54.8% vig

Total implied probability sums to 155% (should be 100% in a fair market). High vig market โ€” sportsbook taking a large edge. Be selective.

Quick Links

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AI Verdict Guide

Good Value

Attractive risk/reward. Market may be undervaluing.

Fair Price

Reasonably priced. No clear edge either way.

Overpriced

Poor value. Overbet or unlikely to justify the price.

Futures Betting 101

What are futures bets?

Futures bets are wagers on outcomes that will be decided in the future โ€” like which team will win the NCAA Championship. Your money is locked until the event concludes.

Implied Probability

Convert odds to probability: +400 odds = 100/(400+100) = 20% implied chance. The total implied probability across all teams exceeds 100% โ€” that excess is the sportsbook's edge (vig).

Value Betting

Look for teams whose true probability of winning exceeds the implied probability. If you think a team has a 15% chance but the odds imply 8%, that's a value bet.

Hedge Strategy

If your futures bet reaches the Final Four, you can hedge by betting on their opponent each game to guarantee profit regardless of outcome.