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Sat, Sep 5 ยท 7:00 PM ET

Abilene Christian at Texas Tech

Texas Tech favored by 45.5 ยท total 60.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

Abilene ChristianWildcats

Away ยท UAC

+45.5

โ€”

ML

Texas TechRed Raiders

Home ยท Big 12

-45.5

โ€”

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadAbilene Christian +45.5โ€”
SpreadTexas Tech -45.5โ€”
TotalOver 60.5โ€”
TotalUnder 60.5โ€”

Returning production

Abilene ChristianTexas Tech
Overallโ€”53%
Passingโ€”27%
Rushingโ€”99%
Receivingโ€”57%

The read

  • The spread has moved from -42.5 to -45.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
  • A total of 60.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

Abilene ChristianpercentileTexas Tech

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)55
โ€”Success rate67
โ€”Explosiveness18
โ€”Points per trip67

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed82
โ€”Success rate allowed75
โ€”Havoc59
โ€”Stuff rate72

Last three seasons

Abilene Christian

1-0 ATS ยท 0-1 SU

1-0 O/U ยท 1-0 away

Texas Tech

17-6-1 ATS ยท 17-7 SU

11-13 O/U ยท 8-2-1 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 45.5 โ€” the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5โ€“52.7%) is taken into account.
  • Total 60.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total60.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-42.5 โ†’ -45.5-3.0

Total

59.5 โ†’ 60.5+1.0

flips 0.8%200 checks ยท Aug 31 โ€“ Sep 5

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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