Thu, Sep 3 · 7:00 PM ET
Akron at Wake Forest
Wake Forest favored by 27.5 · total 50.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
AkronZips
Away · Mid-American
+27.5
+1500
ML
Wake ForestDemon Deacons
Home · ACC
-27.5
-3600
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Akron | Wake Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 92% | 14% |
| Passing | 87% | 23% |
| Rushing | 102%* | 5% |
| Receiving | 92% | 13% |
* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
The read
- The spread has moved from -24.5 to -27.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
- A total of 50.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 7.0 points — the market rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Akron
12-9 ATS · 8-13 SU
11-10 O/U · 6-5 away
Wake Forest
11-11-1 ATS · 11-12 SU
12-10-1 O/U · 4-8 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 27.5 — the 21-28 point band. In 805 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.3% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.9–51.8%) is taken into account.
- Total 50.5 — this game's spread sits in the 21-28 point band. In 688 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 50.4% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7–54.2%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Wake Forest -20.5 versus the market's -27.5 — a 7.0-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-24.5 → -27.5-3.0
Total
48.5 → 50.5+2.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.