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Sat, Oct 3 ยท 7:40 PM ET

Army at Louisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech favored by 1.5 ยท total 46.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

ArmyBlack Knights

Away ยท American Athletic

+1.5

-105

ML

Louisiana TechBulldogs

Home ยท Sun Belt

-1.5

-115

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadArmy +1.5โ€”
SpreadLouisiana Tech -1.5โ€”
TotalOver 46.5โ€”
TotalUnder 46.5โ€”
MoneylineArmy to win-105
MoneylineLouisiana Tech to win-115

Returning production

ArmyLouisiana Tech
Overall80%64%
Passing63%99%
Rushing89%79%
Receiving83%44%

The read

  • The spread has moved from 2.5 to -1.5 since it opened, toward the home side. It crossed 1, changing the result in 4.8% of historical games.
  • A total of 46.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
  • SP+ and the market differ by 3.5 points โ€” the market rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.

Team profile

ArmypercentileLouisiana Tech

With the ball

83Efficiency (PPA)51
93Success rate41
4Explosiveness90
55Points per trip59

Without it

18Efficiency allowed44
30Success rate allowed67
19Havoc93
38Stuff rate68

Last three seasons

Army

14-10 ATS ยท 17-7 SU

11-12-1 O/U ยท 8-1 away

Louisiana Tech

13-10 ATS ยท 11-12 SU

9-14 O/U ยท 7-3 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 1.5 โ€” the 0-3 point band. In 982 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.7% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (45.6โ€“51.8%) is taken into account.
  • Total 46.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2โ€“50.9%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayArmy#81 (-2.4)scores 24.8 ยท allows 27.2
HomeLouisiana Tech#99 (-9.1)scores 21.9 ยท allows 31

SP+ implies Louisiana Tech +2 versus the market's -1.5 โ€” a 3.5-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total46.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

2.5 โ†’ -1.5-4.0

Total

46.5 โ†’ 46.5unmoved

crossed 1 ยท flips 4.8%200 checks ยท Sep 28 โ€“ Oct 3

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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