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Sat, Sep 5 ยท 7:00 PM ET

Austin Peay at Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt favored by 28.5 ยท total 57.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

Austin PeayGovernors

Away ยท UAC

+28.5

+2000

ML

VanderbiltCommodores

Home ยท SEC

-28.5

-6500

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadAustin Peay +28.5โ€”
SpreadVanderbilt -28.5โ€”
TotalOver 57.5โ€”
TotalUnder 57.5โ€”
MoneylineAustin Peay to win+2000
MoneylineVanderbilt to win-6500

Returning production

Austin PeayVanderbilt
Overallโ€”35%
Passingโ€”9%
Rushingโ€”50%
Receivingโ€”50%

The read

  • The spread has moved from -30.5 to -28.5 since it opened, toward the away side.
  • A total of 57.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

Austin PeaypercentileVanderbilt

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)28
โ€”Success rate24
โ€”Explosiveness72
โ€”Points per trip15

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed38
โ€”Success rate allowed36
โ€”Havoc40
โ€”Stuff rate43

Last three seasons

Vanderbilt

16-7 ATS ยท 14-9 SU

14-8-1 O/U ยท 8-4 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 28.5 โ€” the 28-35 point band. In 425 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 46.6% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (41.9โ€“51.3%) is taken into account.
  • Total 57.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total57.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-30.5 โ†’ -28.5+2.0

Total

60.5 โ†’ 57.5-3.0

flips 1.0%200 checks ยท Aug 31 โ€“ Sep 5

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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