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Sat, Oct 24 · 6:05 PM ET

Boise State at Washington State

Boise State favored by 14.5 · total 52.5

Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

Boise StateBroncos

Away · Pac-12

-14.5

-625

ML

Washington StateCougars

Home · Pac-12

+14.5

+455

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadBoise State -14.5—
SpreadWashington State +14.5—
TotalOver 52.5—
TotalUnder 52.5—
MoneylineBoise State to win-625
MoneylineWashington State to win+455

Returning production

Boise StateWashington State
Overall66%91%
Passing94%100%
Rushing100%*100%
Receiving40%85%

* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.

The read

  • At 14.5 the line sits just past 14, so the games decided by exactly 14 fall on the underdog's side of this bet.
  • The spread has moved from 13.5 to 14.5 since it opened, toward the away side. It crossed 14, changing the result in 1.7% of historical games.
  • A total of 52.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
  • SP+ and the market differ by 10.7 points — SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.

Team profile

Boise StatepercentileWashington State

With the ball

92Efficiency (PPA)6
85Success rate3
48Explosiveness42
81Points per trip36

Without it

57Efficiency allowed39
78Success rate allowed48
78Havoc13
93Stuff rate59

Last three seasons

Boise State

14-11-2 ATS · 20-7 SU

12-15 O/U · 5-5-2 away

Washington State

14-9 ATS · 12-11 SU

9-14 O/U · 6-3 home

A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 14.5 — the 14-17 point band. In 708 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 52.8% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (49.1–56.5%) is taken into account.
  • Total 52.5 — this game's spread sits in the 14-21 point band. In 1,186 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 47.0% of the time, so the other side has been the more frequent of the two — though still short of the 52.38% break-even rate at −110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.

SP+ team strength · 2026

AwayBoise State#49 (+5.1)scores 29 · allows 23.7
HomeWashington State#86 (-4.3)scores 20.4 · allows 24.6

SP+ implies Washington State +3.8 versus the market's +14.5 — a 10.7-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total52.5O — · U —

Line movement

Spread (home)

13.5 → 14.5+1.0

Total

51.5 → 52.5+1.0

crossed 14 · flips 1.7%200 checks · Oct 19 – Oct 24

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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