Sat, Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET
Central Connecticut State at Toledo
Toledo favored by 36.5 · total 52.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
Central Connecticut State
Away
+36.5
+4000
ML
ToledoRockets
Home · Mid-American
-36.5
-50000
ML
Tracking isn't available for this game — we couldn't match both teams to our results feed, and we won't take a pick we can't grade.
Returning production
| Central Connecticut State | Toledo | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | — | 66% |
| Passing | — | 99% |
| Rushing | — | 26% |
| Receiving | — | 58% |
The read
- The spread has moved from -33.5 to -36.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
- A total of 52.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Toledo
13-11 ATS · 14-10 SU
12-12 O/U · 6-4 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 36.5 — the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5–52.7%) is taken into account.
- Total 52.5 — this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9–58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at −110.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-33.5 → -36.5-3.0
Total
55.5 → 52.5-3.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.