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Tue, Oct 13 ยท 7:05 PM ET

Delaware at Middle Tennessee

Delaware favored by 1.5 ยท total 49.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

DelawareBlue Hens

Away ยท Conference USA

-1.5

-120

ML

Middle TennesseeBlue Raiders

Home ยท Conference USA

+1.5

+100

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadDelaware -1.5โ€”
SpreadMiddle Tennessee +1.5โ€”
TotalOver 49.5โ€”
TotalUnder 49.5โ€”
MoneylineDelaware to win-120
MoneylineMiddle Tennessee to win+100

Returning production

DelawareMiddle Tennessee
Overall85%33%
Passing96%39%
Rushing88%60%
Receiving77%26%

The read

  • A total of 49.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
  • SP+ and the market differ by 5.2 points โ€” the market rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.

Team profile

DelawarepercentileMiddle Tennessee

With the ball

25Efficiency (PPA)41
27Success rate22
59Explosiveness28
28Points per trip48

Without it

32Efficiency allowed24
34Success rate allowed7
73Havoc0
31Stuff rate15

Last three seasons

Delaware

5-6 ATS ยท 6-5 SU

6-5 O/U ยท 1-3 away

Middle Tennessee

9-12 ATS ยท 5-16 SU

10-11 O/U ยท 4-6 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 1.5 โ€” the 0-3 point band. In 982 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.7% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (45.6โ€“51.8%) is taken into account.
  • Total 49.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2โ€“50.9%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayDelaware#113 (-12.9)scores 22.8 ยท allows 35.4
HomeMiddle Tennessee#135 (-26.5)scores 13.8 ยท allows 40.5

SP+ implies Middle Tennessee +6.7 versus the market's +1.5 โ€” a 5.2-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total49.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

1.5 โ†’ 1.5unmoved

Total

48.5 โ†’ 49.5+1.0

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.