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Sat, Sep 19 ยท 7:00 PM ET

Delaware State at South Florida

South Florida favored by 36.5 ยท total 59.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

Delaware StateHornets

Away ยท MEAC

+36.5

+4300

ML

South FloridaBulls

Home ยท American Athletic

-36.5

-10000

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadDelaware State +36.5โ€”
SpreadSouth Florida -36.5โ€”
TotalOver 59.5โ€”
TotalUnder 59.5โ€”
MoneylineDelaware State to win+4300
MoneylineSouth Florida to win-10000

Returning production

Delaware StateSouth Florida
Overallโ€”13%
Passingโ€”6%
Rushingโ€”-1%*
Receivingโ€”24%

* Outside 0โ€“100% on purpose โ€” production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.

The read

  • A total of 59.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

Delaware StatepercentileSouth Florida

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)52
โ€”Success rate72
โ€”Explosiveness8
โ€”Points per trip72

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed54
โ€”Success rate allowed27
โ€”Havoc37
โ€”Stuff rate74

Last three seasons

Delaware State

1-0 ATS ยท 0-1 SU

0-1 O/U ยท 1-0 away

South Florida

14-10 ATS ยท 14-10 SU

15-9 O/U ยท 7-3 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 36.5 โ€” the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5โ€“52.7%) is taken into account.
  • Total 59.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total59.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-36.5 โ†’ -36.5unmoved

Total

61.5 โ†’ 59.5-2.0

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

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