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Sat, Sep 19 ยท 3:30 PM ET

Duquesne at Washington State

Washington State favored by 38.5 ยท total 51.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

DuquesneDukes

Away ยท NEC

+38.5

โ€”

ML

Washington StateCougars

Home ยท Pac-12

-38.5

โ€”

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadDuquesne +38.5โ€”
SpreadWashington State -38.5โ€”
TotalOver 51.5โ€”
TotalUnder 51.5โ€”

Returning production

DuquesneWashington State
Overallโ€”91%
Passingโ€”100%
Rushingโ€”100%
Receivingโ€”85%

The read

  • The spread has moved from -37.5 to -38.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
  • A total of 51.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

DuquesnepercentileWashington State

With the ball

โ€”Efficiency (PPA)1
โ€”Success rate2
โ€”Explosiveness33
โ€”Points per trip16

Without it

โ€”Efficiency allowed57
โ€”Success rate allowed51
โ€”Havoc22
โ€”Stuff rate64

Last three seasons

Duquesne

0-1 ATS ยท 0-1 SU

1-0 O/U ยท 0-1 away

Washington State

14-9 ATS ยท 12-11 SU

9-14 O/U ยท 6-3 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 38.5 โ€” the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5โ€“52.7%) is taken into account.
  • Total 51.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9โ€“58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at โˆ’110.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

Total51.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-37.5 โ†’ -38.5-1.0

Total

53.5 โ†’ 51.5-2.0

flips 0.8%134 checks ยท Sep 15 โ€“ Sep 19

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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