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Sat, Oct 10 ยท 3:35 PM ET

Eastern Michigan at Akron

Eastern Michigan favored by 4.5 ยท total 51.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

Eastern MichiganEagles

Away ยท Mid-American

-4.5

-205

ML

AkronZips

Home ยท Mid-American

+4.5

+170

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadEastern Michigan -4.5โ€”
SpreadAkron +4.5โ€”
TotalOver 51.5โ€”
TotalUnder 51.5โ€”
MoneylineEastern Michigan to win-205
MoneylineAkron to win+170

Returning production

Eastern MichiganAkron
Overall72%92%
Passing97%87%
Rushing49%102%*
Receiving64%92%

* Outside 0โ€“100% on purpose โ€” production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.

The read

  • The spread has moved from 7 to 4.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
  • A total of 51.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

Eastern MichiganpercentileAkron

With the ball

32Efficiency (PPA)23
35Success rate31
17Explosiveness9
46Points per trip42

Without it

37Efficiency allowed10
46Success rate allowed20
70Havoc14
61Stuff rate33

Last three seasons

Eastern Michigan

13-8-1 ATS ยท 8-14 SU

12-10 O/U ยท 6-6 away

Akron

12-9 ATS ยท 8-13 SU

11-10 O/U ยท 6-4 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 4.5 โ€” the 3-7 point band. In 2,054 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.9% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7โ€“51.0%) is taken into account.
  • Total 51.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2โ€“50.9%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayEastern Michigan#122 (-16.1)scores 17.2 ยท allows 33.4
HomeAkron#130 (-22.9)scores 11.3 ยท allows 33.6

SP+ implies Akron +2 versus the market's +4.5 โ€” a 2.5-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total51.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

7 โ†’ 4.5-2.5

Total

50.5 โ†’ 51.5+1.0

flips 2.7%200 checks ยท Oct 5 โ€“ Oct 10

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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