All games

Sat, Oct 31 · 3:30 PM ET

Florida at Georgia

Georgia favored by 11.5 · total 56.5

FloridaGators

Away · SEC

+11.5

-112

+320

ML

GeorgiaBulldogs

Home · SEC

-11.5

-108

-410

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadFlorida +11.5-112
SpreadGeorgia -11.5-108
TotalOver 56.5-110
TotalUnder 56.5-110
MoneylineFlorida to win+320
MoneylineGeorgia to win-410

Returning production

FloridaGeorgia
Overall69%69%
Passing94%100%
Rushing89%99%
Receiving52%35%

The read

  • Neutral site, so neither team gets home-field advantage — worth about 2.6 points in college football, more than most lines move all week.
  • Played indoors, so weather is off the table entirely.
  • The spread has moved from -10.5 to -11.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
  • A total of 56.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
  • SP+ and the market differ by 3.9 points — the market rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.

Team profile

FloridapercentileGeorgia

With the ball

83Efficiency (PPA)91
67Success rate98
43Explosiveness31
91Points per trip99

Without it

42Efficiency allowed75
26Success rate allowed88
86Havoc77
25Stuff rate36

Last three seasons

Florida

13-9 ATS · 10-12 SU

11-11 O/U · 4-5 away

Georgia

10-17 ATS · 22-5 SU

11-16 O/U · 4-8 home

A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 11.5 — the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3–51.1%) is taken into account.
  • Total 56.5 — this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4–50.8%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.

SP+ team strength · 2026

AwayFlorida#20 (+15.2)scores 30.4 · allows 15.8
HomeGeorgia#4 (+26.4)scores 38.7 · allows 12.9

SP+ implies Georgia -7.6 versus the market's -11.5 — a 3.9-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total56.5O -110 · U -110

Line movement

Spread (home)

-10.5 → -11.5-1.0

Total

56.5 → 56.5unmoved

flips 1.4%156 checks · Oct 21 – Oct 25

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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