Sat, Oct 31 · 3:30 PM ET
Florida at Georgia
Georgia favored by 11.5 · total 56.5

FloridaGators
Away · SEC
+11.5
-112
+320
ML

GeorgiaBulldogs
Home · SEC
-11.5
-108
-410
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Florida | Georgia | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 69% | 69% |
| Passing | 94% | 100% |
| Rushing | 89% | 99% |
| Receiving | 52% | 35% |
The read
- Neutral site, so neither team gets home-field advantage — worth about 2.6 points in college football, more than most lines move all week.
- Played indoors, so weather is off the table entirely.
- The spread has moved from -10.5 to -11.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
- A total of 56.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 3.9 points — the market rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Florida
13-9 ATS · 10-12 SU
11-11 O/U · 4-5 away
Georgia
10-17 ATS · 22-5 SU
11-16 O/U · 4-8 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 11.5 — the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3–51.1%) is taken into account.
- Total 56.5 — this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4–50.8%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Georgia -7.6 versus the market's -11.5 — a 3.9-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-10.5 → -11.5-1.0
Total
56.5 → 56.5unmoved
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.