Sat, Sep 26 · 8:00 PM ET
Florida Atlantic at ULM
Florida Atlantic favored by 11.5 · total 58.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
Florida AtlanticOwls
Away · American Athletic
-11.5
-485
ML
ULMWarhawks
Home · Sun Belt
+11.5
+370
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Florida Atlantic | UL Monroe | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 68% | 39% |
| Passing | 93% | 78% |
| Rushing | 107%* | 16% |
| Receiving | 48% | 26% |
* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
The read
- The spread has moved from 13.5 to 11.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
- A total of 58.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Florida Atlantic
10-13 ATS · 6-17 SU
14-9 O/U · 5-7 away
UL Monroe
9-12 ATS · 6-15 SU
11-10 O/U · 4-5 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 11.5 — the 10-14 point band. In 1,140 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3–51.1%) is taken into account.
- Total 58.5 — this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4–50.8%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies ULM +12.9 versus the market's +11.5 — a 1.4-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
13.5 → 11.5-2.0
Total
57.5 → 58.5+1.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.