All games

Sat, Sep 19 ยท 12:00 PM ET

Georgia at Arkansas

Georgia favored by 24.5 ยท total 54.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

GeorgiaBulldogs

Away ยท SEC

-24.5

-2800

ML

ArkansasRazorbacks

Home ยท SEC

+24.5

+1300

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadGeorgia -24.5โ€”
SpreadArkansas +24.5โ€”
TotalOver 54.5โ€”
TotalUnder 54.5โ€”
MoneylineGeorgia to win-2800
MoneylineArkansas to win+1300

Returning production

GeorgiaArkansas
Overall69%15%
Passing100%19%
Rushing99%15%
Receiving35%12%

The read

  • The spread has moved from 23.5 to 24.5 since it opened, toward the away side. It crossed 24, changing the result in 1.3% of historical games.
  • A total of 54.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
  • SP+ and the market differ by 12.9 points โ€” SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.

Team profile

GeorgiapercentileArkansas

With the ball

97Efficiency (PPA)13
98Success rate43
33Explosiveness1
99Points per trip24

Without it

88Efficiency allowed14
89Success rate allowed29
81Havoc19
50Stuff rate14

Last three seasons

Georgia

10-17 ATS ยท 22-5 SU

11-16 O/U ยท 3-4 away

Arkansas

9-13 ATS ยท 6-16 SU

13-9 O/U ยท 3-8 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 24.5 โ€” the 21-28 point band. In 805 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.3% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (44.9โ€“51.8%) is taken into account.
  • Total 54.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 21-28 point band. In 688 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 50.4% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7โ€“54.2%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayGeorgia#4 (+26.4)scores 38.7 ยท allows 12.9
HomeArkansas#44 (+5.6)scores 34.4 ยท allows 29

SP+ implies Arkansas +11.6 versus the market's +24.5 โ€” a 12.9-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total54.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

23.5 โ†’ 24.5+1.0

Total

53.5 โ†’ 54.5+1.0

crossed 24 ยท flips 1.3%200 checks ยท Sep 13 โ€“ Sep 19

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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