Sat, Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ET
Georgia State at James Madison
James Madison favored by 9.5 · total 57.5
Georgia StatePanthers
Away · Sun Belt
+9.5
-108
+285
ML
James MadisonDukes
Home · Sun Belt
-9.5
-112
-360
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Georgia State | James Madison | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 47% | 8% |
| Passing | 64% | 9% |
| Rushing | 127%* | 7% |
| Receiving | 28% | 9% |
* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
Player props · 26 players
Anytime TD
+20 more anytime td ladders
Every rung and price on the full prop board. We publish no model on college props — these are the market's numbers.
The read
- Forecast winds around 16 mph. Across 2,065 outdoor games, windy ones scored about 4 points fewer than calm ones — but the market moves its total to match, and backing the under in wind lost money at every threshold we tested. Conditions, not an edge.
- At 9.5 the line sits just short of 10, so the games decided by exactly 10 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
- The spread has moved from -11.5 to -9.5 since it opened, toward the away side. It crossed 10, changing the result in 3.9% of historical games.
- A total of 57.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 12.4 points — SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Georgia State
5-16-1 ATS · 3-19 SU
12-9-1 O/U · 3-8-1 away
James Madison
14-10 ATS · 19-5 SU
10-14 O/U · 6-5 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 9.5 — the 7-10 point band. In 1,074 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 51.2% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (48.2–54.2%) is taken into account.
- Total 57.5 — this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4–50.8%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies James Madison -21.9 versus the market's -9.5 — a 12.4-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-11.5 → -9.5+2.0
Total
58.5 → 57.5-1.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.