Sat, Sep 26 · 6:00 PM ET
Incarnate Word at Texas State
Texas State favored by 30.5 · total 66.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
Incarnate WordCardinals
Away · Southland
+30.5
+1300
ML
Texas StateBobcats
Home · Pac-12
-30.5
-2800
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Incarnate Word | Texas State | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | — | 76% |
| Passing | — | 100% |
| Rushing | — | 48% |
| Receiving | — | 79% |
The read
- The spread has moved from -29.5 to -30.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
- A total of 66.5 sits among the highest quarter of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Incarnate Word
0-1 ATS · 0-1 SU
1-0 O/U · 0-1 away
Texas State
10-14 ATS · 13-11 SU
12-12 O/U · 5-7 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 30.5 — the 28-35 point band. In 425 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 46.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (41.9–51.3%) is taken into account.
- Total 66.5 — this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9–58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at −110.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-29.5 → -30.5-1.0
Total
63.5 → 66.5+3.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.