Sat, Sep 19 · 10:00 PM ET
James Madison at San Diego State
San Diego State favored by 2.5 · total 46.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
James MadisonDukes
Away · Sun Belt
+2.5
+113
ML
San Diego StateAztecs
Home · Pac-12
-2.5
-150
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| James Madison | San Diego State | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8% | 99% |
| Passing | 9% | 100% |
| Rushing | 7% | 100% |
| Receiving | 9% | 97% |
The read
- At 2.5 the line sits just short of 3, so the games decided by exactly 3 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
- A total of 46.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
James Madison
14-10 ATS · 19-5 SU
10-14 O/U · 7-5 away
San Diego State
14-8 ATS · 10-12 SU
9-13 O/U · 7-3 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 2.5 — the 0-3 point band. In 982 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.7% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.6–51.8%) is taken into account.
- Total 46.5 — this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2–50.9%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies San Diego State -3.7 versus the market's -2.5 — a 1.2-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-2.5 → -2.5unmoved
Total
46.5 → 46.5unmoved
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.