Sat, Sep 26 · 7:00 PM ET
Kansas State at Cincinnati
Kansas State favored by 6 · total 55.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
Kansas StateWildcats
Away · Big 12
-6
-238
ML
CincinnatiBearcats
Home · Big 12
+6
+195
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Kansas State | Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 71% | 8% |
| Passing | 100% | 4% |
| Rushing | 61% | 4% |
| Receiving | 57% | 15% |
The read
- The spread has moved from 6.5 to 6 since it opened, toward the home side.
- A total of 55.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 4.4 points — SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Kansas State
9-12 ATS · 12-9 SU
11-10 O/U · 4-7 away
Cincinnati
10-12-1 ATS · 10-13 SU
9-13-1 O/U · 5-6 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 6 — the 3-7 point band. In 2,054 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.9% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7–51.0%) is taken into account.
- Total 55.5 — this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2–50.9%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Cincinnati +1.6 versus the market's +6 — a 4.4-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
6.5 → 6-0.5
Total
55.5 → 55.5unmoved
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.