Sat, Sep 19 · 7:45 PM ET
Kennesaw State at Tennessee
Tennessee favored by 35.5 · total 60.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
Kennesaw StateOwls
Away · Conference USA
+35.5
+2200
ML
TennesseeVolunteers
Home · SEC
-35.5
-8000
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Kennesaw State | Tennessee | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6% | 35% |
| Passing | 0% | 7% |
| Rushing | -4%* | 48% |
| Receiving | 13% | 52% |
* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
The read
- A total of 60.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 12.4 points — the market rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Kennesaw State
14-11 ATS · 12-13 SU
9-16 O/U · 6-6 away
Tennessee
10-14 ATS · 16-8 SU
14-10 O/U · 4-8 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 35.5 — the 35+ point band. In 449 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.1% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (43.5–52.7%) is taken into account.
- Total 60.5 — this game's spread sits in the 28+ point band. In 715 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 54.5% of the time (95% range 50.9–58.2%), against a 52.38% break-even rate at −110.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Tennessee -23.1 versus the market's -35.5 — a 12.4-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-35.5 → -35.5unmoved
Total
60.5 → 60.5unmoved
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.