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Thu, Sep 24 ยท 7:30 PM ET

Liberty at Coastal Carolina

Liberty favored by 2.5 ยท total 50.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

LibertyFlames

Away ยท Conference USA

-2.5

-142

ML

Coastal CarolinaChanticleers

Home ยท Sun Belt

+2.5

+120

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadLiberty -2.5โ€”
SpreadCoastal Carolina +2.5โ€”
TotalOver 50.5โ€”
TotalUnder 50.5โ€”
MoneylineLiberty to win-142
MoneylineCoastal Carolina to win+120

Returning production

LibertyCoastal Carolina
Overall38%15%
Passing75%12%
Rushing45%16%
Receiving21%17%

The read

  • Forecast winds around 15 mph. Across 2,065 outdoor games, windy ones scored about 4 points fewer than calm ones โ€” but the market moves its total to match, and backing the under in wind lost money at every threshold we tested. Conditions, not an edge.
  • At 2.5 the line sits just short of 3, so the games decided by exactly 3 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
  • The spread has moved from -1.5 to 2.5 since it opened, toward the away side. It crossed 1, changing the result in 4.8% of historical games.
  • A total of 50.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

LibertypercentileCoastal Carolina

With the ball

59Efficiency (PPA)41
81Success rate16
14Explosiveness84
41Points per trip25

Without it

81Efficiency allowed35
93Success rate allowed13
81Havoc50
84Stuff rate20

Last three seasons

Liberty

6-15 ATS ยท 10-11 SU

9-11-1 O/U ยท 3-7 away

Coastal Carolina

10-14 ATS ยท 10-14 SU

15-9 O/U ยท 5-5 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 2.5 โ€” the 0-3 point band. In 982 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.7% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (45.6โ€“51.8%) is taken into account.
  • Total 50.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2โ€“50.9%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayLiberty#88 (-5.3)scores 26 ยท allows 31.1
HomeCoastal Carolina#117 (-14.7)scores 20.6 ยท allows 34.8

SP+ implies Coastal Carolina +3.8 versus the market's +2.5 โ€” a 1.3-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total50.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

-1.5 โ†’ 2.5+4.0

Total

54.5 โ†’ 50.5-4.0

crossed 1 ยท flips 4.8%171 checks ยท Sep 20 โ€“ Sep 24

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

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