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Sat, Sep 26 ยท 6:30 PM ET

Louisiana at Charlotte

Louisiana favored by 9.5 ยท total 49.5

Game has kicked off โ€” lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.

LouisianaRagin' Cajuns

Away ยท Sun Belt

-9.5

-375

ML

Charlotte49ers

Home ยท American Athletic

+9.5

+295

ML

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead โ€” or as well โ€” and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.

SpreadLouisiana -9.5โ€”
SpreadCharlotte +9.5โ€”
TotalOver 49.5โ€”
TotalUnder 49.5โ€”
MoneylineLouisiana to win-375
MoneylineCharlotte to win+295

Returning production

LouisianaCharlotte
Overall92%41%
Passing101%*113%*
Rushing82%27%
Receiving92%16%

* Outside 0โ€“100% on purpose โ€” production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.

The read

  • At 9.5 the line sits just short of 10, so the games decided by exactly 10 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
  • The spread has moved from 10 to 9.5 since it opened, toward the home side.
  • A total of 49.5 sits on the low side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result โ€” overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.

Team profile

LouisianapercentileCharlotte

With the ball

43Efficiency (PPA)4
36Success rate7
37Explosiveness21
38Points per trip1

Without it

77Efficiency allowed9
38Success rate allowed6
70Havoc3
81Stuff rate76

Last three seasons

Louisiana

12-12-1 ATS ยท 14-11 SU

14-11 O/U ยท 8-4 away

Charlotte

11-11 ATS ยท 5-17 SU

13-9 O/U ยท 3-7 home

A record, not a signal โ€” we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.

How games at these numbers have gone

  • Spread 9.5 โ€” the 7-10 point band. In 1,074 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 51.2% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (48.2โ€“54.2%) is taken into account.
  • Total 49.5 โ€” this game's spread sits in the 7-14 point band. In 1,954 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 48.6% of the time โ€” a coin flip once the 95% range (46.4โ€“50.8%) is taken into account.

Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick โ€” see every band.

SP+ team strength ยท 2026

AwayLouisiana#102 (-10.6)scores 24.4 ยท allows 34.6
HomeCharlotte#132 (-24.1)scores 14.5 ยท allows 38.1

SP+ implies Charlotte +6.6 versus the market's +9.5 โ€” a 2.9-point disagreement.

Context, not a pick โ€” tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.

Total49.5O โ€” ยท U โ€”

Line movement

Spread (home)

10 โ†’ 9.5-0.5

Total

49.5 โ†’ 49.5unmoved

"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open โ€” DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.

Other games

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