Sun, Sep 6 · 7:30 PM ET
Louisville at Ole Miss
Ole Miss favored by 6.5 · total 54.5
Game has kicked off — lines shown are the pre-kickoff close.
LouisvilleCardinals
Away · ACC
+6.5
+200
ML
Ole MissRebels
Home · SEC
-6.5
-245
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Louisville | Ole Miss | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35% | 50% |
| Passing | 0% | 79% |
| Rushing | 85% | 84% |
| Receiving | 18% | 19% |
The read
- Neutral site, so neither team gets home-field advantage — worth about 2.6 points in college football, more than most lines move all week.
- At 6.5 the line sits just short of 7, so the games decided by exactly 7 fall on the favorite's side of this bet.
- A total of 54.5 sits right around the middle of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Louisville
10-13 ATS · 15-8 SU
13-10 O/U · 5-5 away
Ole Miss
16-10 ATS · 21-5 SU
9-17 O/U · 9-6 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 6.5 — the 3-7 point band. In 2,054 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 48.9% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.7–51.0%) is taken into account.
- Total 54.5 — this game's spread sits in the 0-7 point band. In 2,739 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 49.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (47.2–50.9%) is taken into account.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Ole Miss -3.7 versus the market's -6.5 — a 2.8-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
-6.5 → -6.5unmoved
Total
55.5 → 54.5-1.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.