Sat, Oct 17 · 7:30 PM ET
Louisville at Syracuse
Louisville favored by 14.5 · total 55.5
LouisvilleCardinals
Away · ACC
-14.5
-112
-650
ML
SyracuseOrange
Home · ACC
+14.5
-108
+470
ML
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it instead — or as well — and it gets graded into My Record once the game is final. Pushes are settled as pushes, which matters here: a 3 or a 7 is the most common margin in college football.
Returning production
| Louisville | Syracuse | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35% | 35% |
| Passing | 0% | 83% |
| Rushing | 85% | -19%* |
| Receiving | 18% | 20% |
* Outside 0–100% on purpose — production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the share above 100 and a returning group with negative combined output shows below zero.
Player props · 25 players
Passing yards
Rushing yards
Receiving yards
Anytime TD
+18 more anytime td ladders
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Every rung and price on the full prop board. We publish no model on college props — these are the market's numbers.
The read
- Played indoors, so weather is off the table entirely.
- At 14.5 the line sits just past 14, so the games decided by exactly 14 fall on the underdog's side of this bet.
- The spread has moved from 13.5 to 14.5 since it opened, toward the away side. It crossed 14, changing the result in 1.7% of historical games.
- A total of 55.5 sits on the high side of real college football scores (the median FBS game lands on 54). That places the number; it does not predict the result — overs land almost exactly 50% against closing totals.
- SP+ and the market differ by 8.2 points — SP+ rates the home side higher. Worth knowing, but not a signal: we backtested betting that disagreement and it went 49.8% against the spread, versus the 52.4% needed to break even.
Team profile
With the ball
Without it
Last three seasons
Louisville
10-13 ATS · 15-8 SU
13-10 O/U · 5-5 away
Syracuse
10-14 ATS · 12-12 SU
13-10-1 O/U · 4-8 home
A record, not a signal — we measured team-level situational splits at 50% against the spread. Useful for knowing a team, not for picking one.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 14.5 — the 14-17 point band. In 708 archived games at this number, the favorite covered 52.8% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (49.1–56.5%) is taken into account.
- Total 55.5 — this game's spread sits in the 14-21 point band. In 1,186 archived games with a spread this size, the over hit 47.0% of the time, so the other side has been the more frequent of the two — though still short of the 52.38% break-even rate at −110.
Measured on our archive of FBS games with a closing line and a final score. Context, not a pick — see every band.
SP+ team strength · 2026
SP+ implies Syracuse +6.3 versus the market's +14.5 — a 8.2-point disagreement.
Context, not a pick — tap the for what these numbers mean and what we measured.
Line movement
Spread (home)
13.5 → 14.5+1.0
Total
56.5 → 55.5-1.0
"From" is the first price we recorded, not necessarily the market open — DraftKings publishes no opening number, so we only claim what we saw.
Odds via DraftKings, refreshed every 30 minutes; movement is measured from our own stored snapshots. Confirm the price at your book. 21+.